Post-Hasina upheaval, Bangladesh polls loom on February 12, 2026, with BNP polling 70% in latest surveys, eclipsing Jamaat-e-Islami’s 19%. This marks a turnaround from last month’s contest, rooted in reverence for deceased Khaleda Zia and Tarique Rahman’s triumphant return after 17 years.
EASD data shows NCP at 2.9%. BNP rises on emotional tides from Zia’s demise, Rahman’s activism, and public outrage at rampant crime under Jamaat influence. Bureau officials caution against ISI-puppet Jamaat steering toward theocratic ruin, clashing with demands for tranquil, law-based governance.
Awami League’s sidelining funnels 60% supporters to BNP, 25% to Jamaat, amid pogroms on Hasina loyalists. BNP captivates 71% women, leads Rajshahi-Chittagong at 70%, with 77% betting on victory per December-January poll.
India welcomes BNP prospects, bolstered by Modi’s poignant note. Still, intelligence flags surge in atrocities—six Hindus slain in 18 days, two latest—fearing Jamaat-ISI tactics to breed panic and stall elections. Vigilance at borders critical against radical contagion.