Momentum builds for Japan’s Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in polls previewing the February 8 lower house elections, with surveys from Nikkei and Yomiuri pointing to a decisive majority. Coverage in local press underscores the party’s resilience post-dissolution.
From 198 seats before Prime Minister Sane Takaiichi dissolved parliament on January 23, LDP now eyes expansion past 233—the majority threshold in 465 seats. Leads in 40% of 289 single-seat districts spotlight conservative areas like Kumamoto, Yamaguchi, Tokushima. Tight races abound in 150+ others against determined foes.
Proportional representation offers LDP 70+ seats, up from 59 previously. With Japan Innovation Party ally, 261 total seats loom, commanding committee control. Centrist Reform Alliance (CRA) slumps from 167 to potentially under 100, with ~40 district and 40 proportional seats.
Yomiuri polls affirm LDP dominance in Chugoku, Kyushu, and core supports. JIP fortifies Osaka but lags proportionally; CRA falters in key single-seat battles.
Takaiichi’s snap poll, the first regular-session dissolution in decades, seeks mandate clarity after October inauguration. LDP’s prior fragile majorities hindered unencumbered governance.
Election day nears with LDP favored, poised to fortify rule and advance priorities amid global pressures.